Saturday 2 November 2013

The Post That Takes Your Money: Week 10

Double digits already? College football is going by too fast and we can't afford to waste these precious last few weeks of the regular season on bad slates of games. Unfortunately, that's what is happening in the Pac-12 with four teams on a bye and four teams getting their games out of the way on weeknights leaving only two Pac-12 games for today. In case you were wondering or possibly deceived into thinking this is somehow a good thing, it is not because one of the games involves California and the other prominently features Colorado. Since the Pac-12 schedule makers clearly decided to take this week off, I will as well by not posting Pac-12 Journey articles for either of these games. Sue me. If you really are a degenerate gambler and you need to wager money on Pac-12 football, here are my picks for today's games.

Arizona (-14.5) over California

I said last week to take Cal's opponents minus anything for the rest of the season and although I got burned by a back door cover last week, I'm sticking to it. California's defense is hopelessly bad against the run and Ka'Deem Carey and B.J. Denker should be able to gash them for big plays on the ground. Arizona's defense has rounded back into form these last couple weeks and should take advantage of a turnover prone QB (whoever it ends up being) and an anemic offense that cannot block in any situation.

The Pick: Arizona 42, California 14

 UCLA (-29) over Colorado

The Buffs looked a lot better last week against Arizona but now is not the time to cash in on that improvement. The Bruins are angry and motivated after losing two straight despite being in the game late against Stanford and Oregon and are excited to be back at home for the first time in three weeks. Colorado simply can't match UCLA's athleticism on either side of the ball so even if the Buffs play disciplined and mistake free, they can't match up with the Bruins.

The Pick: UCLA 52, Colorado 20

Last Week Against the Spread:  3-2

Last Week Straight Up: 4-1

This Season Against the Spread: 37-31 (includes Thursday and Friday)

This Season Straight up: 54-14 

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